Capability: Cycle Modelling

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Example of application to a corridor study - This image shows projected future (2026) daily cycle use with a new cycle facility in NW Christchurch forming part of a wider comprehensive improved cycle network.
Many cities now recognise that provision of a connected network of safe and convenient cycle facilities can offer significant and sustainable benefits. To make optimal use of what is usually limited funding however, such a network should be planned to meet peoples’ travel needs.

QTP were commissioned by Christchurch City Council to develop a simple modelling tool that could be be used to help target cycle network investment and maximise the potential benefits.
The basic model:
  • Uses simple modelling techniques to estimate the existing or future cycling demand throughout the greater-Christchurch conurbation.
  • Adapted an available road traffic model to represent the larger network available to cyclists and also recognise that cyclists do not act and should not be modelled like cars.
  • Takes account of key factors, such as potential changes in population and business, rising fuel prices and congestion, along with user perceptions of safety of alternative cycle facilities.
  • Treats commuting cycling, education trips (5 types) other home-based and non-home based trips differently in terms of the potential cycle trip generation, distribution and route assignment.
  • Produces high-level outputs that illustrate, in a simple manner, the relative demand in alternative corridors such as sector-level potential cycle desire-line plots – or indeed assignment on alternative routes.
  • Allows estimation of potential economic, safety and public health benefits of alternative cycling investment strategies to support funding applications,

The model has subsequently been used for applications for funding assistance, including for the $156m Christchurch Major Cycle Routes programme, which is currently being implemented.


For more information, please read this Non-Technical Summary,
see this presentation and paper to the 2014 2Walk and Cycle Conference (please note that project scope and costs have been revised subsequently) 
or contact Paul Roberts, for a discussion on how we may assist you.